Restaurant Performance Index continues ascent
April 30, 2012
by Keith Nunes
WASHINGTON — For the fifth consecutive month, the National Restaurant Association’s Restaurant Performance Index remained above 100. At 102.2, the March RPI achieved a post-recession high that was previously reached in December 2011.
“The first quarter finished strong with a solid majority of restaurant operators reporting higher same-store sales and customer traffic levels in March,” said Hudson Riehle, senior vice-president of the Research and Knowledge Group for the NRA “In addition, restaurant operators are solidly optimistic about sales growth and the economy in the months ahead, which propelled the Expectations component of the RPI to its highest level in 15 months.
“Bolstered by improving sales and traffic results, restaurant operators’ outlook for capital spending reached its highest level in more than four years,” he added. “This will have positive implications throughout the supply chain of the restaurant industry.”
The RPI’s current situation index, which measures current trends in same-store sales, traffic, labor and capital spending, stood at 102 in March, a 0.1 percent increase compared with February. Restaurant operators reported positive same-store sales for the tenth consecutive month in March, with sales results similar to their February performance. Sixty-five percent of restaurant operators reported a same-store sales gain between March 2011 and March 2012, up slightly from 63 percent who reported a sales gain in February.
The RPI’s expectations index, which measures restaurant operators’ six-month outlook, rose to 102.4 in March, a 0.4 percent increase compared with February. A majority of restaurant operators expect their sales to be higher in the months ahead. Fifty-three percent said they expect to have higher sales in six months, compared with the same period in the previous year, matching the proportion who reported similarly in February. In comparison, only 9 percent of restaurant operators expect their sales volume in six months to be lower than it was during the same period in the previous year, also unchanged from last month.
Restaurant operators also are generally optimistic about the direction of the overall economy. Thirty-eight per cent of restaurant operators said they expect economic conditions to improve in six months, up from 35 percent last month. In comparison, 12 percent of operators said they expect economic conditions to worsen in the next six months, down slightly from 14 percent who reported similarly last month.